Dying your
own yarn is not difficult and can be fun! There are a lot of methods for dying,
but the one I like best uses unsweetened drink mixes, such as Kool-Aid or
Flavor-Aid and a microwave. You must use 100% wool yarn (or another protein
fiber) for the color to take. I've used Fisherman's Wool with good results. To
prepare the wool, make bundles of about two ounces each, tied with a short
string. (I use yarn to tie my bundles, and then keep the ties on index cards
with details on the yarn and amounts of mix I used for future reference. I
experiment a lot!)
Soak wool
bundles in hot water with a squirt of liquid dish soap for ½ hour. While the
bundles are soaking prepare your dye. You can use plastic cups for mixing. I
like to mix up a bunch in a plastic container with a lid and store it for later
use. Start with one package of drink mix for each ounce fiber you intend to
dye. Mix with six ounces water and two ounces distilled white vinegar.
In summary:
For each ounce fiber:
1 pkg. drink
mix
6 oz. water
2 oz.
vinegar
Feel free to
experiment. The more drink mix you use, the brighter the color will be. You can
mix several colors in separate cups and spatter the yarn with a turkey baster
(or paint brush, or eye dropper...) or you can combine different flavors to get
a blend.
Line a
Pyrex-type glass casserole dish with plastic wrap, and remove the yarn from its
bath. Carefully squeeze out the excess water. If you agitate the yarn too much
it will start to felt, so you want to be very gentle! Place the yarn on the
plastic wrap and pour the dye over it. Make sure all the yarn gets covered by
the dye mix.
Wrap the
plastic tightly around the yarn. You may want to secure the ends with masking
tape, but it's not necessary. Squish the liquid around again to make sure all
the yarn has been covered. Microwave the bundle in the glass dish on high for
two minutes. Remove the dish from the microwave and let rest for two minutes
more. Check to see if the liquid is clear. Be careful, as it will be very hot!
Keep hands and face away from the bundle in case steam is released.
If the
liquid is not clear, return the bundle back to the microwave for another two
minutes at a time. When the liquid is colorless it is finished. Remove the
plastic wrap and rinse carefully in hot water. Feel free to let the yarn cool
in the air. I set mine outside on the patio. As yarn cools you may use cooler
water to rinse. (The more extremes it is exposed to, the more likely it is to
felt.)
When the
yarn is cool enough to handle, squeeze out excess water and hang to dry. My
neighbors know it has been a dying day when they see the multi-colored
streamers swooping around my tree branches out front! On wet days I drape yarn
on hangers and let it dry inside. Be sure to line the floor with towels or
newspapers to catch the drips.
Just as few finishing notes: This
microwaving method is best if you are dying a small quantity of yarn and want
to achieve a mottled effect. For a more uniform effect, you can dye yarn in a
large pan on the stovetop. I have also tried dying finished articles, which
worked fine, although the color will settle deeper in some spots. One of the
most charming results of dying with drink mixes is that the finished yarn
smells something like its flavor. Yum!Visit https://www.knitmustache.com/
As a nightclub owner or promoter one of the major goals to
achieve success is to consistently bring in more ladies than men into your
nightclub. Why is this? It is has been proven time and time again that a higher
percentage of females usually equates to a much better night. The ideal ratio
is 60/40 This is mainly because females dance more often than guys. Females
also help encourage the fellas to dance. And having a few more females than
guys, helps keep the tension down, as the guys stay busy trying to hit on girls
rather than building up testosterone because there is too much competition for
too few females. The majority of nightclub promotions are therefore directed
mostly towards females as it is known that guys are naturally attracted to bars
that have a ton of females in them. Therefore, marketing to guys is almost
pointless as they will eventually show up regardless. One of the more
successful ladies night promotions is to give the ladies exactly what they want...
a bunch of HUNKS to ogle over and choose from.
What's in it For The Ladies? How Do You Ensure a Packed
Ladies Night?
As a DJ I have done many styles of Ladies Nights but the
most successful Ladies Nights started out as Ladies ONLY Nights, with a special
earlier portion of the night dedicated to just the ladies. Specifically we're
talking about starting the night off extra early around 6pm or 8pm with an All
Male Revue Show and dance show extravaganza made specifically for the ladies.
You can opt to just bring in a bunch of local male strippers or you can find
companies that put on more of a Broadway Musical or Vegas Style Show which
makes it more entertaining for the ladies than just a regular strip show.
Starting the night off with an all male revue show ensures that you have a
great head start with a good 100-400 females in the building before your
nightclub night even begins.
There are several formulas for success using an all male
revue show as your focal point and it's really up to each individual nightclub
to decide the best formula for the biggest profits. As a nightclub you may
decide to charge cover to all the females for the all male revue show, or you
may simply charge cover the whole night for both male and females, encouraging
the females to get there early and catch the show as part of their ticket
price. You may opt to let females in free all night regardless of the fact that
they also get a show early in the night and pack out your bar with all females
before charging the guys later in the night.
Another option, if you have a club with multiple rooms, is
to only charge people, that are going to watch the show and let everyone else
in free. The Free people are not allowed to watch the show or enter the special
performance room. Then when the doors all open after the show your club is
already fully packed with both guys and girls from the free section and a bunch
of girls that came to watch the show.
Finally, a double dip solution can be utilized if you have a
multi room club by also bringing in a few female strippers to entertain the
fellas in the second room while the male strippers perform for the female crowd
in the main room allowing you to again charge everyone perhaps $10 to $20 for
females and $15 to $40 for the guys.
You can also sell special seating and bottle service with a
complimentary lap dance or a backstage pass (discuss plans with performers
first) The possibilities are endless.
No matter what your particular formula for utilizing an All
Male Revue Show to increase profits, with proper promotions, you can expect a
huge increase in female attendance and a great jump-start to any ladies night.
A good plan is to pass out two sets of flyers at your club, One for the ladies
telling them about the pre-show party and a second set of flyers for the fellas
so they know to show up after the show for the hottest ladies night in your
city, which will already be packed to the gills with a bunch of crazy females
that have already been worked up and are much more receptive to talking or
dancing with the fellas.
Congratulations! You got yourself an Apple iPhone. You
finally have managed to buy one of the snazziest purchases of the decade! You
sure might have sat there looking at it for a while, gazing at this sleek piece
of technological wonder and its high-tech novelty with awe and admiration
Groovy! You take it in your hands, feel the smooth material, switch it on, and
hold it with pride and great enthusiasm.
Up till now, it has managed to hold your attention and make
you feel good about owning it. You show it off to all your relatives and even
the next-door neighbor. But then, the same iPhone tumbles over the edge of the
table and you are flabbergasted! Its only then its hits you that you have
invested $500 dollars (or could be more) on this little wonder and you have to
safeguard this dear investment from being dropped, scratched or broken. Pronto!
The next thing that pops in your head is to get a good case for your Apple
iPhone.
Although the iPhone is considerably new, there are some
great, exceptional quality iPhone cases in the market today. These Apple iPhone
Cases, range from cool to hip to suave and stylish. One such iPhone case would
be the OtterBox Defender iPhone Case.
Well known for being the makers of waterproof, tough cases
for iPods, mobile phones, PDAs as well as something like the cigar case; it is
not surprising that OtterBox has a case for the Apple iPhone.
Unlike other iPhone cases, the OtterBox Defender iPhone Case
provides complete control over the user interactivity and enables users to
operate the iPhone volume controls, touch screen and camera functions. This
semi-rugged yet sleek and 4.81" x 2.675" x .76" slim case is
water-resistant and hence safeguards the iPhone from outside detrimental
conditions. Although not 100% waterproof, the OtterBox iPhone Case is effectual
in protection from precipitation or a slight drizzle. When you are on the move
and wish to take your iPhone along, you need not take the case off. The
OtterBox Defender has a holster and clip, which comes handy (in the true sense)
and still protects your iPhone whether you have to shovel through a crowd or
catch the next train. Even the very thought of dropping the iPhone brings a
chill to many. Least you would want to do is drop it.
This particular case by OtterBox accommodates some of the
major Apple iPhone models like the 4GB, 8GB and the hefty 16GB Apple iPhones.
In comparison to other iPhone cases that block the interactivity with the
iPhone, the OtterBox Defender Case provides you complete access to the touch interface
through a patented touch screen membrane while safeguarding the iPhone. The
OtterBox has not one, not two but 3 Layers of Protection. Whether you are using
the iPhone or it's lying idle, the protective surfaces work as a shield,
covering the iPhone at all times. The external covering is made of silicone,
which is fitting for safeguarding the iPhone from all bumps and drops.
Apart from this, the iPhone comes along with a sync/ charge,
and a jack for the headphone. You can get easy access to the sleep/wake, home
buttons, volume controls and the proximity sensor through the case. The case
also has a swivel belt clip that offers full impact protection to the delicate
screen.Visit http://www.hoesje4u.nl/
Managing accounts and
inventory can be a daunting task for all business organisations. The accounting
and inventory features in Tally ERP 9 helps businesses in recording their daily
transactions and managing their accounts. All types of organisations ranging
from small businesses to large multi-national companies and non-profit
organisations can benefit tremendously from these highly effective accounting
features that the software offers:
Voucher Entry: Flexibility
and ease of its unique voucher entry system can be extremely useful for diverse
transactions. According to the accounting terminology, a voucher is described
as a document that contains the details of a particular business transaction.
The software is loaded with a range of accounting vouchers, and each one of
them is designed for a particular purpose.
Calculation of interest: It
offers interest calculation methods that can be defined by the user and
customised for every transaction. The user can also obtain reports on the basis
of interest calculated, which can be useful in knowing the balance amounts that
are receivable and payable.
Ledger Integration: General
Ledger, Sales Ledger, and Purchase Ledger are integrated into a single ledger
in this software, and classified into different groups for achieving the
required ease in management. This concept of Unified Ledgers allows for the
ease of entering data and creating records.
Bill-by-Bill Tracking: This
software allows bill-wise tracking of trading as well as non-trading accounts.
All the new bills raised, receipts, payments and adjustments made against the
bills can be tracked without any hassles.
Use of regular names for
accounts: Management of complex ledger systems can be made easy using this
software, as it does not use any codes for computerised accounting. Anyone can
operate this system without having any knowledge of the accounting codes.
Access Control, Auditing,
and Budgeting: Users can have unlimited periods and budgets, while the
software's superior audit capabilities allow them to track changes and make the
required corrections without any difficulty. They can also define security
levels that result in robust access control.
Receivables and Payables:
Bill-wise information is provided by the software of the amounts that are
receivable as well as payable, which helps organisations to allocate payments
against invoices and track the amounts paid by customers and the ones that are
overdue. They can also segregate good customers and bad customers on the basis
of payments made and the amounts due.
Support for multiple
currencies: Several companies, especially the ones involved in the business of
International Trade conduct transactions that involve multiple currencies. With
fluctuating exchange rates, it becomes a challenge to record such transactions.
Multi-currency support in this software facilitates easy management of
transactions that involve foreign currencies.
Besides these excellent features, there are several others
that businesses can benefit from, with the use of Tally ERP 9 software.
Companies can get their Profit and Loss Accounts, Balance Sheets, Trial
Balances and other statements ready in no time. With the help of ratio
analysis, business owners can have total control over their business
operations. The software also has certain provisions that can help record
provisional entries and make comparisons with the actual accounts. Visit www.tallysolutions-me.com/
The Bank of England's recent report on payment technologies
and digital currencies regarded the blockchain technology that enables digital
currencies a 'genuine technological innovation' which could have far reaching
implications for the financial industry.
So what is the block chain and why are y'all getting
excited?
The block chain is an online decentralised public ledger of
all digital transactions that have taken place. It is digital currency's
equivalent of a high street bank's ledger that records transactions between two
parties.
Just as our modern banking system couldn't function without
the means to record the exchanges of fiat currency between individuals, so too
could a digital network not function without the trust that comes from the
ability to accurately record the exchange of digital currency between parties.
It is decentralised in the sense that, unlike a traditional
bank which is the sole holder of an electronic master ledger of its account
holder's savings the block chain ledger is shared among all members of the
network and is not subject to the terms and conditions of any particular
financial institution or country.
So what? Why is this preferable to our current banking
system?
A decentralised monetary network ensures that, by sitting
outside of the evermore connected current financial infrastructure one can
mitigate the risks of being part of it when things go wrong. The 3 main risks
of a centralised monetary system that were highlighted as a result of the 2008
financial crisis are credit, liquidity and operational failure. In the US alone
since 2008 there have been 504 bank failures due to insolvency, there being 157
in 2010 alone. Typically such a collapse does not jeopardize account holder's
savings due to federal/national backing and insurance for the first few hundred
thousand dollars/pounds, the banks assets usually being absorbed by another
financial institution but the impact of the collapse can cause uncertainty and
short-term issues with accessing funds. Since a decentralised system like the
Bitcoin network is not dependent on a bank to facilitate the transfer of funds
between 2 parties but rather relies on its tens of thousands of users to
authorise transactions it is more resilient to such failures, it having as many
backups as there are members of the network to ensure transactions continue to
be authorised in the event of one member of the network 'collapsing' (see
below).
A bank need not fail however to impact on savers,
operational I.T. failures such as those that recently stopped RBS and Lloyds'
customers accessing their accounts for weeks can impact on one's ability to
withdraw savings, these being a result of a 30-40 year old legacy I.T.
infrastructure that is groaning under the strain of keeping up with the growth
of customer spending and a lack of investment in general. A decentralised
system is not reliant on this kind of infrastructure, it instead being based on
the combined processing power of its tens of thousands of users which ensures
the ability to scale up as necessary, a fault in any part of the system not
causing the network to grind to a halt.
Liquidity is a final real risk of centralised systems, in
2001 Argentine banks froze accounts and introduced capital controls as a result
of their debt crisis, Spanish banks in 2012 changed their small print to allow
them to block withdrawals over a certain amount and Cypriot banks briefly froze
customer accounts and used up to 10% of individual's savings to help pay off
the National Debt.
As Jacob Kirkegaard, an economist at the Peterson Institute
for International Economics told the New York Times on the Cyrpiot example,
"What the deal reflects is that being an unsecured or even secured
depositor in euro area banks is not as safe as it used to be." In a
decentralised system payment takes place without a bank facilitating and
authorising the transaction, payments only being validated by the network where
there are sufficient funds, there being no 3rd party to stop a transaction,
misappropriate it or devalue the amount one holds.
OK. You make a point. So, how does the block chain work?
When an individual makes a digital transaction, paying
another user 1 Bitcoin for example, a message comprised of 3 components is created;
a reference to a previous record of information proving the buyer has the funds
to make the payment, the address of the digital wallet of the recipient into
which the payment will be made and the amount to pay. Any conditions on the
transaction that the buyer may set are finally added and the message is
'stamped' with the buyer's digital signature. The digital signature is
comprised of a public and a private 'key' or code, the message is encrypted
automatically with the private 'key' and then sent to the network for
verification, only the buyer's public key being able to decrypt the message.
This verification process is designed to ensure that the
destabilising effect of 'double spend' which is a risk in digital currency
networks does not occur. Double spend is where John gives George £1 and then
goes on to give Ringo the same £1 as well (Paul hasn't needed to borrow £1 for
a few years). This may seem incongruous with our current banking system and
indeed, the physical act of an exchange of fiat currency stops John giving away
the same £1 twice but when dealing with digital currencies which are mere data
and where there exists the ability to copy or edit information relatively
easily, the risk of 1 unit of digital currency being cloned and used to make
multiple 1 Bitcoin payments is a real one. The ability to do this would destroy
any trust in the network and render it worthless.
"What the deal reflects is that being an unsecured or
even secured depositor in euro area banks is not as safe as it used to
be."
To ensure the system is not abused the network takes each
message automatically created by a buyer and combines several of these into a
'block' and presents them to network volunteers or 'miners' to verify. Miners
compete with each other to be the first to validate a block's authenticity,
specialist software on home computers automatically seeking to verify digital
signatures and ensure that the components of a transaction message logically
flow from the one preceding it that was used in its creation and that it in
turn reflects the block preceding it that was used in its creation and so on
and so forth. Should the sum of the preceding components of a block not equal
the whole then it is likely that an unintended change was made to a block and
it can be stopped from being authorised. A typical block takes 10 minutes to
validate and therefore for a transaction to go through though this can be sped
up by the buyer adding a small 'tip' to encourage miners to validate their
request more quickly, the miner solving the block 'puzzle' being rewarded with
25 Bitcoins plus any 'tips', thus is new currency released into circulation,
this incentivisation ensuring that volunteers continue to maintain the
network's integrity.
By allowing anyone to check a proposed change against the
ledger and validate it the block chain removes the need for a central authority
like a bank to manage this. By removing this middleman from the equation a host
of savings in terms of prescribed transaction fees, processing times and limits
on how much and to whom a transaction can be made can be negated.
Sounds to good to be true.
It is, every type of system has its own particular risks, a
decentralised one being no different. The main threat to Bitcoin's
decentralised network is the '51% threat', 51% referring to the amount of the
network's total miners working collaboratively in a mining 'pool' to validate
transactions. Due to it becoming more costly in terms of time and processing
power for an individual to successfully validate a transaction as a result of
the network becoming bigger and more mature individual miners are now joining
'pools' where they combine their processing power to ensure a smaller but more
regular and consistent return. In theory, should a pool grow large enough to
comprise of 51% or more of total network users it would have the ability to
validate massive double spend transactions or refuse to validate authentic
transactions en mass, effectively destroying trust in the network. While there
is more incentive built into the system to lawfully mine Bitcoin than destroy
it through fraud the 51% threat represents a risk to such a decentralised
system. To date mining pools are taking a responsible approach to this issue
and voluntary steps are being taken to restrict monopolies forming, it being in
everyone's interests to maintain a stable system that can be trusted.
So... despite this risk the Bank of England likes the thing
that sounds like it could put them out of business?
The BoE are looking beyond Bitcoin and digital currency
payments specifically and envisioning ways that the block chain can make
existing financial products and platforms more efficient and add value to them.
One needs only to look at existing financial assets such as stocks, loans or
derivatives which are already digitised but which sit on centralised networks
to appreciate the opportunities that exist for the individual by removing the
middleman...
... and becoming your own stockbroker. Coloured Coins is a
project that aims to allow anyone to turn any of their assets or property into
something they can trade. Think 'The Antiques Roadshow'. I love that show,
especially when a little ol' dear finds that she's been using a 14th Century
Ming dish worth £200,000 to keep fruit in on her sideboard. Coloured Coins
would allow the owner of the dish (or their car or house) to have one or more
of their Bitcoins represent a part or whole of the value of their asset so that
they could be traded in exchange for other goods and services, a single Bitcoin
holding a value of the entire £200,000 or they issuing 200 coins each with a
value of £1000.
Similarly, a business could issue shares represented by
digital currency directly to the public which could in turn then be traded
without the need for an expensive IPO or traditional stock exchange and
shareholders could vote using a secure system similar to how transaction
messages are currently created. Patrick Byrne, CEO of one of the US's largest
retailers which was the 1st major on-line retailer to accept international Bitcoin
payments is currently exploring plans to create such a stock
exchange powered by the block chain which he hopes will negate current inherent
problems such as 'abusive naked short selling' where traders can sell shares
they don't own which drives down share prices and which was felt contributed to
the fall of Lehman Brothers.
The digitising of assets could also revolutionise the
crowdfunding industry. Kickstarter is an example of a platform that facilitates
the funding of products by micro-payments from interested members, often in
return for small mementos upon completion of the project such as signed
merchandise or a copy of one of the first products to be produced. With the
ability to easily digitise an asset and issue shares in it and all future
profits for example investors may be more inclined to invest more heavily.
And speaking of
crowdfunding... VitalikButerin recently raised £15m in crowd-sourced funding
for his Ethereum Project which he believes will represent the future of the
block chain. The project supports numerous programming languages so as to allow
developers to build online products and services like social media, search or
chat forums as alternatives to those run by corporations like Google, Facebook
and Twitter. "You can write anything that you would be able to write on a
server and put it on to the blockchain," Buterin told Wired. "Instead
of Javascript making calls to the server, you would be making calls to the
blockchain." Currently a community of 200 users are building voting apps,
domain name registrars, crowd-sourcing platforms and computer games to run on
Ethereum, 'ethers' mined through the maintenance of the platform by volunteers
being required for this.I would recommend you to visit : http://www.coinopinions.com/
The potential of the block chain to improve the way we
communicate, bank, manage our assets etc is huge and only limited by the
imagination of people like VitalikButerin and the Ethereum community and the
willingness of current institutions to change.
There is no doubt that one of the most crucial parts of a
wedding day - well certainly for the guests anyway - is the wedding food. Lunch
or dinner, budget or expensive, the wedding breakfast (as it is traditionally
called) is immensely important. And by implication therefore, your choice of
wedding caterers is crucial.
There are a huge number of wedding caterers in the UK -
companies who perhaps do corporate and private parties too, but who, overall,
make wedding business their business.
Most couples are faced with a dizzying choice. They may be
looking for a relaxed hog roast or wedding barbecue, rather than a sit down
dinner. Perhaps they want traditional Indian food? Or a Chinese banquet? And
whatever the style and theme, they will certainly be looking for a cake!
Whether the day is going to be formal and elegant, or relaxed and low key, you
can be sure there are caterers out there who fit the bill.
The wedding meal is the part of the day where all the
guests, young and old, and from both families - bride's and groom's - will sit
down, relax and eat together. Of course, by choosing the right wedding caterers
at the very outset, a couple can be sure that a team with relevant skills and
experience will be responsible for getting the food and drink right on the day,
so that all they have to do is worry about the vows!
Wedding caterers can vary hugely in price and in product.
Low key, casual and less formal weddings may benefit from smaller and more
relaxed. But if budget is no issue, then nothing is impossible, and you can
find companies who will provide ice bars laden with the finest caviar and the
most superb vintage pink champagne.
As far as finding wedding caterers is concerned, it pays to
do some research - ask for recommendations, speak to brides, or to the staff at
a venue. Alternatively, ask a photographer, florist or any other wedding
supplier whether they can recommend a really good wedding caterer.
Some of the larger more luxurious wedding caterers such as
Alison Price, "rhubarb" or The Admirable Crichton can work in pretty
much any space and even in any country, so don't just assume you can't have
exactly what you want!
Often the best wedding caterers also work in conjunction
with wedding planners - companies that specialise in planning every last detail
of the big day. These planners may hire the caterer for you, but only after you
have had huge input and maybe even visited two or three caterers to get a feel
for their individual style and service. Linda Cooper weddings for example work
with a number of high end wedding caterers.
The main thing about London caterers is getting them to work
well for you - they should be able to produce exactly the kind of menu you
want, offer you a tasting, work within budget, staff the event properly, and
even sort the bar out.
As far as food is concerned, if the produce is excellently
sourced and superbly cooked, even sausages and mash can be perfect for a
wedding meal. As a rule, try to stick with what is seasonal. Popular choices
still tend to be chicken, lamb, beef and salmon. They're generally well-liked
and, if the wedding caterers are any good, they don't have to be boring either.
Good wedding caterers should be able to suggest great ideas
and clever ways of doing things within budget. If you want to save money, a
caterer might ask you to consider serving substantial canapes or bowl food
instead of a starter, or a very luxurious chocolate wedding cake as your
pudding. What about a tower of initialed fairy cakes - not only are they a
stunning wedding centerpiece, but they solve the problem of wedding favours for
guests too!
It is also the wedding caterers job to make sure that everyone
is looked after - vegetarian, food allergy sufferer, and of course the
designated drivers should have some yummy soft drinks as well.
And of course the staff are crucial. Smiling, happy and
helpful waitresses are so much better on a glorious wedding day than grumpy
serving staff who just wish they were somewhere else! And the better catering
companies will even encourage staff to get into the spirit of things - dressing
up waitresses for a Bollywood themed wedding for example. Visit https://catering.tuscanbites.com/
Use
tweezers or needle to separate each false eyelash, then glue and stick directly
on the real eyelash with suitable length and curvature so that it is suitable
for your face, providing the most natural feeling.
This
method require a solid, meticulous, skilled and workmanship hands, caring for
even the smallest detail. This method is recommend for short lashes people.
The
advantages of this method is that the lifespan is high, on average of 2-6
months, after that the glue will dry and fall off, the eyelashes will fall.
However, this method often takes a lot of time to be done.
2.
Extense near the real lashes
This
method is widely used today, cound be applied for almost of false eyelashes
types.
The
advantage of this method is saving time, suitable for various types of
eyelashes and eyes shapes, also suit with the thick style. However, the life
span of false eyelashes is shorter than the first method, on average of 1-2
months.
II.
Choosing style for different eyes shape
1.
Single eyelid
False
eyelashes are always the ideal choice for single eyelid girls. Depending on your
style, you can choose the suitable lenght and thickness. If you want it to be
natural, try the medium-lenght and thick lashes with a light eyes line. Or if
you want a big round eye, you shouldn't be afraid to use double eyelid tape and
false eyes on both the top and bottom. You should choose the silk type, long
and curve one will help to highlight the shape of your eyes.
2.
Round eyes
Silk
eyelashes, long and thick one is the most suitable for the round eyes.
3.
Diamond-shaped eyes
This
eyes shape is suitable for almost any types of false eyelash, but the silk,
curve beams eyelash will help your eyes to be more big, round and adorned
When
you own big round eyes, using a special, fancy style for a party is also not a
bad ideal. If you want to highlight your big round eyes, use the false eyelash
which have equal long strands. Note, if you choose the too-thick eyelashes
style, it somehow will make your eyes smaller.
5.
Almond shaped eyes
It
is easy to choose the suitable false eyelashes for this shape, similar to the
oval face, which is also easy for styling. You can choose the dark, thick
eyeline and some false eyelashes at the tail of the eyes to make a cat-eyes, or
a very long and thick lashes for the dinner party is not a bad idea.
So, you’re sitting at your computer
with money to invest.
You have made some good money already
in the market, but you want more.
Cryptocurrencies have reached a
record $600 billion in
market value after the recovery, with the inevitable $700
billion mark right around the corner.
The price movement of top currencies
remains a mystery. But it doesn’t have to be.
THE PAIN OF
UNCERTAINTY
Cryptocurrencies are volatile,
irrational beasts.
Simple methods of forecasting grossly over/underestimate
the potential of a volatile currency.
For example, moving averages are used
frequently to estimate future prices. Moving averages, however, suffer from many pitfalls that make
them poor estimators of volatile markets.
Every great and successful investor
has a plan. You will add one more tool to your arsenal today.
This method is a Monte Carlo
simulation using the geometric Brownian motion model.
I won’t cover off on the full
methodology here, but essentially I am going to:
1.Get historical daily
prices for 10 top cryptocurrencies
2.Calculate daily returns
3.Simulate a year
4.Simulate a year many
times
By the end of the article, you will
have the following:
·A one-year simulation of
top cryptocurrencies
·Likely price range of
each cryptocurrency
·A downloadable model to
complete yourself
A note on
forecasting, simulations, and recommendations: Monte Carlo simulations are to
be used as guidelines and tools, not as gospel. I am not offering financial or
investing advice.
We can be 95% certain that Bitcoin prices will fall between $4,179,
and $273,028 with a median of $31,380.
BITCOIN CASH
What is Bitcoin Cash?
From the Bitcoin Cash project website:
“Bitcoin Cash is peer-to-peer electronic cash for
the Internet. It is fully decentralized, with no central bank and requires no
trusted third parties to operate.”
Really, it was an additional currency
that was created after a fork from Bitcoin core.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that Bitcoin Cash prices will fall between
$94, and $94,225 with a median of $2,899.
ETHEREUM
What is Ethereum?
Ethereum is a decentralized platform
that runs smart contracts: applications that run exactly as programmed without
any possibility of downtime, censorship, fraud or third party interference.
Ethereum has been busy recently.
Multiple steps have been pushed in motion for the upcoming large change—reaching a new consensus method.
Ethereum’s Byzantium hard fork was only one half of
a two-part process designed to transition the decentralized application platform
to a new method for reaching consensus—proof-of-stake. The next hard fork, called Constantinople, was recently
discussed during an Ethereum core developer meeting and could include
VitalikButerin’s Casper update.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that Ethereum prices
will fall between $706, and $30,062 with a median of $4,791.
EOS is a blockchain-based,
decentralized operating system, designed to support commercial-scale
decentralized applications by providing all of the necessary core
functionality, enabling businesses to build blockchain applications in a way
similar to web-based applications.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that EOS prices will fall between $9.58, and
$14,898 with a median of $307.
LITECOIN
What is Litecoin?
Litecoin is a peer-to-peer Internet
currency that enables instant, near-zero cost payments to anyone in the world.
Litecoin is an open source, global payment network that is fully decentralized
without any central authorities.
Mathematics secures the network and
empowers individuals to control their own finances. Litecoin features faster transaction confirmation times and
improved storage efficiency than the leading math-based currency.
With substantial industry support,
trade volume and liquidity, Litecoin is a proven medium of commerce
complementary to Bitcoin.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that Litecoin prices will fall between $30,
and $7,636 with a median of $472.
OMISEGO
What is OmiseGO?
OmiseGO is building a couple of
things:
1.Decentralized exchange
2.Liquidity provider
mechanism
3.Clearinghouse messaging
network
4.Asset-backed blockchain
gateway
OmiseGO is not owned by any single one
party. Instead, it is an open distributed network of validators which enforce
behavior of all participants.
Also, OmiseGo counts VitalikButerin (Ethereum), and
Joseph Poon (Lightning Network Co Author) among their advisers. Joseph Poon is
actually billed as author of the OmiseGo whitepaper.
Those are some pretty big names.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that OmiseGO prices will fall between $1.17,
and $190.71 with a median of $15.74.
NEO
What is NEO?
NEO (formerly known as AntShares) is a
smart asset platform and the first open source public blockchain project in
China. Smart assets are the combination of smart blockchain contracts and
digital assets.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that NEO prices will fall between $27, and
$13,229 with a median of $458.
RIPPLE
What is Ripple?
Ripple is a system created for banks
to enable immediate payments and lower costs.
The vision of the Ripple creators is
to allow a bank transfer in a few seconds (instead of the horribly annoying 2–3
business days).
Of note, is that Ripple is a U.S.
based company. From the xrphodor blog:
Ripple is a US-based company.
Why is this an important point to consider? A
US-based company like Ripple is subject to some very stringent laws regarding
securities trading and money transmission. These include requirements that
define how Ripple might interact with crypto markets and both institutional and
retail crypto traders.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that Ripple prices will fall between $0.02,
and $175 with a median of $2.12.
MONERO
What is Monero?
Monero attempts to solve privacy and
fungibility issues that persist in Bitcoin.
Part of the algorithm for Monero
automatically mixes transactions with previous transactions and does this by
implementing ring signatures.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that Monero prices will fall between $88, and
$10,338 with a median of $972.
IOTA
What is IOTA?
IOTA enables companies to explore new
business-2-business models by making every technological resource a potential
service to be traded on an open market in real time, with no fees.
The main innovation behind IOTA is the Tangle, a
revolutionary new blockless distributed ledger which is scalable, lightweight
and for the first time ever makes it possible to transfer value without any
fees.
Contrary to today’s Blockchains,
consensus is no-longer decoupled but instead an intrinsic part of the system,
leading to decentralized and self-regulating peer-to-peer network.
Verdict
We can be 95% certain that IOTA prices will fall between $0.13, and
$175 with a median of $4.55.
YOUR VERY
OWN FORECASTING TOOL
Since i’m so nice, I went ahead and
created a forecasting tool for you to use.
Full disclosure: The google sheets
add-in is a 14-day free trial, and $15 per month after. However, no one should
be refused access on the basis of money (especially true for students and less
fortunate). Send me a message, and I will make sure you are not left in the
dark.
A NOTE
ON SECURITY
Users have expressed hesitation about
running a google sheets add-in on their main computer, so I will attempt to
ease those concerns:
·I am located in the
U.S., and my business is registered in the state of Maryland
·If this were malicious,
people would have downvoted the add-in into oblivion, and it would have been
removed from the store
·If you are still worried, you can open it within a virtual machine and
test it first
WHAT
IT PULLS:
·90-day history of ~24
different cryptocurrencies
·1-Year simulation of
prices
·1-Year simulation of returns
·1-Year simulation ran
1,000 times
GETTING THE
SPREADSHEET TO WORK FOR YOU
1. Install the Spreadstreet add-in for
Google Sheets
·Follow the installation
instructions included with the add-in and log-in
2. Get sheet ready for use with the
add-in
·Important Open the
template, click the menu Add-ons / Spreadstreet / Help / View in store, and
then click Manage and in the dropdown menu click Use in this document.
·Login to the
Spreadstreet add-in for the first time (Add-ons ->Spreadstreet -> Open)
and keep the window open
3. After logging into the add-in,
change the dropdown reference
·In the analysis tab,
change the “SELECT CURRENCY” dropdown (B3) to one of the other choices…this
refreshes the pull
·Note: CoinMarketCap API
has limits. Be careful when attempting to refresh the sheet too many times
TROUBLESHOOTING
1.Important Open the template, click the menu
Add-ons / Spreadstreet / Help / View in store, and then click Manage and in the
dropdown menu click “Use in this document.”
2.A reload of the entire
worksheet fixes quite a few problems.
3.Deleting and re-pasting
the formula in A1 of the “Candles” tab fixes things as well.
4.If all else fails, drop
me a message
5.The “SELECT CURRENCY”
cell in the Analysis tab (B3) refreshes the pull. Change the results for new
data.
When I try and
change a coin, I get a #DIV/0 error
Login to the Spreadstreet add-in, and
keep the window open. Try changing the dropdown again.
I have tried
logging in, activating the template with “Use in this document” and refreshed
the sheet…still nothing.
Head to the “Data” tab. Delete the
formula in cell A1, and repaste the following: =SS(“candles-bitfinex”, ticker,
“1D”, “hist”, true, “”, “”, “”, “0”)
CONCLUSION
Whether you are investing in Bitcoin,
Ethereum, or SpankCoin, it is imperative to have a plan. Most notably, a
worst-case scenario.
The Monte Carlo simulation is a
fantastic way to get a range of prices for a cryptocurrency. And after reading
this, you can see how the final values change drastically depending on what you
are looking at.
I urge you to download the sheet and
try your own hand at simulating different coins. The sheet is setup to pull in
every single coin from CoinMarketCap.
